Carabao Cup 1/16

Newcastle vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis

Newcastle Sheffield Wednesday
78 ELO 68
1% Tilt -0.4%
31º General ELO ranking 896º
Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Newcastle
20.5%
Draw
14.2%
Sheffield Wednesday

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
Newcastle
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
Sheffield Wednesday
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Newcastle
Sheffield Wednesday
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2015
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 2
Watford
WAT
51%
24%
25%
80 77 3 0
14 Sep. 2015
WHU
West Ham
2 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
57%
23%
20%
80 83 3 0
29 Aug. 2015
NEW
Newcastle
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
13%
21%
66%
80 92 12 0
25 Aug. 2015
NEW
Newcastle
4 - 1
Northampton
NOR
80%
15%
6%
80 56 24 0
22 Aug. 2015
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
78%
15%
7%
80 91 11 0

Matches

Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2015
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
3 - 2
Fulham
FUL
37%
27%
36%
66 71 5 0
15 Sep. 2015
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
0 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
45%
26%
28%
66 67 1 0
12 Sep. 2015
BUR
Burnley
3 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
55%
25%
20%
67 74 7 -1
29 Aug. 2015
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
33%
28%
39%
68 75 7 -1
25 Aug. 2015
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
60%
23%
17%
67 60 7 +1