Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
TOT
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 0
NEW
46%
26%
27%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
WHU
2 - 4
NEW
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
BBU
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 1
BBU
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MID
3 - 3
TOT
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
MID
2 - 0
LOV
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |