Newcastle vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
NEW
2 - 2
COV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
EVE
1 - 0
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1988 |
LUT
4 - 1
OPA
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1988 |
COV
4 - 0
LUT
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
LUT
3 - 1
OPA
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
WIM
2 - 0
LUT
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1988 |
LUT
2 - 0
OXF
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |