Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 1
NEW
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WHU
1 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
QPR
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
WBA
0 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIV
20%
22%
58%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
CHL
3 - 0
TOT
65%
20%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHL
11%
20%
70%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
S04
0 - 5
CHL
24%
23%
53%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
WBA
83%
13%
5%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHL
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |