Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
31%
27%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
PSV
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
27%
24%
48%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 1
NEW
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
CHL
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
ASV
3 - 2
CHL
24%
27%
50%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
MID
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |