Newcastle vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
NEW
3 - 1
COV
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
70%
17%
12%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
YEA
0 - 2
NEW
3%
12%
85%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 2
LIV
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
3 - 2
YEO
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
3 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 1
ROC
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |