Newcastle vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BHA
1 - 1
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 3
CHL
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 3
TOT
16%
20%
63%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 2
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 1
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEI
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
CHL
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |