Newcastle Town vs Norton United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
LEE
3 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
7 - 1
BRI
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 3
STO
78%
14%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 4
NEW
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Norton United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
KID
0 - 2
NOR
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
MIC
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 2
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 1
NOR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
TIV
3 - 4
NOR
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |