Newcastle Town vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
STR
4 - 0
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
KID
2 - 3
NEW
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
6 - 1
SPA
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +4 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 3
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
BED
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
ROM
40%
24%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 2
CAR
14%
18%
68%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |