Newcastle Jets U21 vs Sydney U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 2
CEN
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 5
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
5 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 4
CEN
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sydney U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
SYD
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
3 - 3
SYD
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 1
SYD
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |