FA Euro vs Ocean City Nor'easters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Euro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
NJL
0 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
JER
2 - 1
NEW
83%
11%
5%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
REA
3 - 0
NEW
83%
11%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAL
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
NEW
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ocean City Nor'easters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
OCE
1 - 3
LON
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
NJL
1 - 4
OCE
14%
20%
67%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 3
OCE
19%
22%
60%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
LON
2 - 2
OCE
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
OCE
0 - 2
NYG
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | 0 |