New Orleans Jesters vs Asheville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Orleans Jesters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 0
NOJ
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 3
NOJ
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
NOJ
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
NOJ
1 - 1
NAS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
NOJ
3 - 2
CHA
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Asheville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 2
ASC
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 3
NOJ
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 1
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 0
NAS
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
NAS
5 - 1
ASC
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |