Shell Shockers vs Austin Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shell Shockers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
BRC
2 - 1
NOS
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
NOS
4 - 2
MIS
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
NOS
2 - 2
BRC
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
MIS
0 - 0
NOS
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
DFW
4 - 2
NOS
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Austin Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
ELP
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 2
MIS
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 2
BRC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
LAR
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
MIS
2 - 0
AUS
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |