New Mexico United vs Austin Bold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
NMU
3 - 0
EPL
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 2
NMU
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
CAR
7%
12%
81%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 1
NMU
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
MIN
6 - 1
NMU
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 0
FFC
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
6 - 0
AUB
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
AUB
3 - 2
ORA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
AUB
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AUB
5 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |