New England Revolution vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 2
NER
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NER
2 - 1
COC
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KCW
2 - 3
NER
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COC
1 - 0
NER
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RBN
3 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
HOD
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |