Oberliga Nordost-Nord round 29

Neustrelitz vs Tasmania Berlin analysis

Neustrelitz Tasmania Berlin
27 ELO 28
-13% Tilt -2.8%
6444º General ELO ranking 7015º
323º Country ELO ranking 345º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Neustrelitz
23.7%
Draw
36.8%
Tasmania Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Neustrelitz
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.8%
Win probability
Tasmania Berlin
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neustrelitz
-7%
-5%
Tasmania Berlin

Points and table prediction

Neustrelitz
Their league position
Tasmania Berlin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
17º
39
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hansa Rostock II
81
81
100%
Rostocker FC
69
69
100%
TUS Makkabi
67
67
100%
Hertha Zehlendorf
62
62
100%
RSV Eintracht
57
57
100%
CFC Hertha 06
49
49
100%
Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin
48
48
100%
Dynamo Schwerin
48
48
100%
Neustrelitz
47
47
0%
Union Fürstenwalde
10º
47
47
10º
0%
Mahlsdorf
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Tasmania Berlin
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Optik Rathenow
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Mecklenburg Schwerin
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Staaken
15º
33
33
15º
100%
MSV Neuruppin
16º
32
32
16º
100%
FC Frankfurt
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Pampow
18º
30
30
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neustrelitz
Tasmania Berlin
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neustrelitz
Tasmania Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neustrelitz
Neustrelitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
DSC
Dynamo Schwerin
2 - 0
Neustrelitz
NEU
51%
21%
28%
29 30 1 0
16 Apr. 2023
NEU
Neustrelitz
0 - 2
RSV Eintracht
RSV
34%
23%
43%
29 33 4 0
10 Apr. 2023
FMS
Mecklenburg Schwerin
0 - 3
Neustrelitz
NEU
20%
21%
59%
28 19 9 +1
06 Apr. 2023
NEU
Neustrelitz
2 - 3
Rostocker FC
RFC
32%
23%
45%
29 34 5 -1
02 Apr. 2023
SCS
Staaken
2 - 3
Neustrelitz
NEU
44%
23%
33%
29 26 3 0

Matches

Tasmania Berlin
Tasmania Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
TAS
Tasmania Berlin
1 - 2
Union Fürstenwalde
UNI
40%
22%
38%
29 33 4 0
14 Apr. 2023
HZE
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 - 2
Tasmania Berlin
TAS
73%
16%
11%
27 40 13 +2
01 Apr. 2023
TAS
Tasmania Berlin
3 - 1
Pampow
MSV
65%
19%
17%
26 22 4 +1
26 Mar. 2023
SCS
Staaken
3 - 0
Tasmania Berlin
TAS
46%
22%
32%
28 27 1 -2
18 Mar. 2023
RFC
Rostocker FC
1 - 3
Tasmania Berlin
TAS
68%
17%
15%
27 36 9 +1