Oberliga Bayern North Round 24

Neudrossenfeld vs SV Donaustauf analysis

Neudrossenfeld SV Donaustauf
39 ELO 28
-6.6% Tilt -3.9%
4940º General ELO ranking 37693º
240º Country ELO ranking 1478º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Neudrossenfeld
19.6%
Draw
18.3%
SV Donaustauf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
Neudrossenfeld
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.3%
Win probability
SV Donaustauf
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Neudrossenfeld
Their league position
SV Donaustauf
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
17º
22
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neudrossenfeld
SV Donaustauf
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Neudrossenfeld
SV Donaustauf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neudrossenfeld
Neudrossenfeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2024
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
0 - 4
TSV Kornburg
KOR
60%
20%
20%
39 31 8 0
24 Feb. 2024
ASV
ASV Cham
0 - 0
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
44%
23%
33%
38 38 0 +1
17 Feb. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 2
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
26%
22%
52%
37 27 10 +1
10 Feb. 2024
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
0 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
15%
20%
66%
37 51 14 0
17 Nov. 2023
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
1 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
55%
22%
23%
34 30 4 +3

Matches

SV Donaustauf
SV Donaustauf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
AMM
Ammerthal
0 - 4
SV Donaustauf
SVD
71%
16%
13%
27 38 11 0
24 Feb. 2024
SVD
SV Donaustauf
1 - 2
Eltersdorf
ELT
14%
18%
68%
28 45 17 -1
18 Nov. 2023
HAH
Hankofen-Hailing
3 - 0
SV Donaustauf
SVD
68%
18%
14%
25 36 11 +3
04 Nov. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
2 - 1
SV Donaustauf
SVD
61%
19%
21%
25 28 3 0
28 Oct. 2023
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
2 - 0
SV Donaustauf
SVD
79%
13%
8%
26 44 18 -1