Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
8º
8º
4
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 36 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 33 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 26 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 26 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 20 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 20 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 17 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 17 |
10º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 5
NEX
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 3
SER
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 0
BIE
44%
23%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 0
ETO
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 3
FCA
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STA
1 - 1
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
SCB
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |