Challenge League round 13

Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Wil analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax FC Wil
69 ELO 69
8.5% Tilt 11.9%
1671º General ELO ranking 1271º
21º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
46.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.1%
Draw
29.2%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-14%
+10%
FC Wil

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
FC Wil
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Thun
72
72
100%
Aarau
61
61
100%
Etoile Carouge
54
54
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
53
53
100%
FC Wil
53
53
100%
FC Vaduz
51
51
100%
AC Bellinzona
44
44
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
41
41
100%
Stade Nyonnais
36
36
100%
Schaffhausen
10º
25
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
36%
27%
37%
69 68 1 0
18 Oct. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 3
Etoile Carouge
ETO
45%
25%
30%
70 69 1 -1
10 Oct. 2024
GCZ
Grasshopper
6 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
61%
21%
18%
70 80 10 0
04 Oct. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
47%
25%
28%
69 68 1 +1
27 Sep. 2024
THU
Thun
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
61%
22%
18%
69 78 9 0

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2024
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
28%
24%
48%
67 72 5 0
18 Oct. 2024
STA
Stade Nyonnais
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
31%
24%
45%
68 62 6 -1
10 Oct. 2024
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
59%
21%
20%
68 78 10 0
05 Oct. 2024
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
31%
26%
43%
68 73 5 0
27 Sep. 2024
SCH
Schaffhausen
0 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
44%
25%
31%
67 69 2 +1