Challenge League Round 36

Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Wil analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax FC Wil
70 ELO 76
10.2% Tilt 12.9%
1573º General ELO ranking 1181º
21º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
32.6%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.6%
Draw
42.7%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.7%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-3%
+2%
FC Wil

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
FC Wil
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Thun
72
72
100%
Aarau
61
61
100%
Etoile Carouge
54
54
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
53
53
100%
FC Wil
53
53
100%
FC Vaduz
51
51
100%
AC Bellinzona
44
44
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
41
41
100%
Stade Nyonnais
36
36
100%
Schaffhausen
10º
25
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2025
STA
Stade Nyonnais
1 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
39%
25%
36%
70 67 3 0
09 May. 2025
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Etoile Carouge
ETO
35%
26%
39%
70 76 6 0
03 May. 2025
BEL
AC Bellinzona
3 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
33%
27%
39%
71 69 2 -1
25 Apr. 2025
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 2
Thun
THU
21%
24%
55%
71 83 12 0
18 Apr. 2025
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
57%
23%
21%
71 77 6 0

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2025
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
39%
26%
35%
76 77 1 0
09 May. 2025
FCA
Aarau
2 - 4
FC Wil
WIL
48%
25%
28%
75 79 4 +1
04 May. 2025
WIL
FC Wil
3 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
55%
24%
21%
75 67 8 0
27 Apr. 2025
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
51%
25%
25%
74 69 5 +1
21 Apr. 2025
THU
Thun
7 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
58%
22%
20%
75 82 7 -1