Challenge League Round 29

Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Wil analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax FC Wil
55 ELO 62
3.3% Tilt 8.2%
1600º General ELO ranking 1175º
21º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
25%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.2%
Draw
50.8%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.8%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-5%
+5%
FC Wil

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
FC Wil
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yverdon
66
66
100%
Lausanne Sports
61
61
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
60
60
100%
Aarau
57
57
100%
FC Wil
56
56
100%
Thun
49
49
100%
Schaffhausen
44
44
100%
FC Vaduz
37
37
100%
AC Bellinzona
37
37
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
YVE
Yverdon
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
62%
22%
17%
56 66 10 0
02 Apr. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
28%
26%
46%
56 64 8 0
19 Mar. 2023
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
37%
26%
37%
56 55 1 0
12 Mar. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Yverdon
YVE
23%
24%
53%
57 65 8 -1
03 Mar. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
20%
22%
58%
57 65 8 0

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 2
Thun
THU
29%
24%
47%
62 68 6 0
31 Mar. 2023
SCH
Schaffhausen
4 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
37%
26%
38%
64 63 1 -2
17 Mar. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 3
Aarau
FCA
40%
24%
36%
65 64 1 -1
12 Mar. 2023
THU
Thun
1 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
44%
25%
31%
65 67 2 0
03 Mar. 2023
YVE
Yverdon
1 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
42%
25%
34%
64 65 1 +1