Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 3
NEX
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 0
SCH
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
BUL
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
4 - 1
NEX
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
THU
6 - 0
BAD
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
THU
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 0
THU
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
THU
3 - 2
YVE
40%
24%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |