Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 3
NEX
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 0
SCH
20%
23%
58%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
BUL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
4 - 1
NEX
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
THU
6 - 0
BAD
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
THU
31%
25%
45%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 0
THU
76%
15%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
THU
3 - 2
YVE
40%
24%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |