Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GCZ
0 - 1
NEX
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
YOB
4 - 1
NEX
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHU
1 - 2
NEX
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 0
GCZ
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 2
LAU
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STA
0 - 5
THU
7%
15%
78%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
THU
0 - 3
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |