Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 3
NEX
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NEX
5 - 0
BAU
82%
14%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
KRI
1 - 2
NEX
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 1
YVE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
THU
2 - 0
SCH
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
GCZ
0 - 3
THU
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
YOB
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
60%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
STG
2 - 0
THU
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |