Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
WIN
2 - 3
NEX
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
NEX
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CON
2 - 3
NEX
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BUL
0 - 4
THU
29%
24%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
THU
1 - 3
YOB
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
THU
77%
14%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MEN
0 - 2
THU
7%
15%
78%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |