Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
STG
6 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SER
4 - 1
NEX
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
NEX
0 - 0
SIO
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 1
SER
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 4
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |