Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 1
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 0
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
THU
1 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 2
LUG
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |