Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
NEX
0 - 0
YOB
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
5 - 1
NEX
70%
18%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NEX
2 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LUG
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |