Swiss Super League Regular Season Round 19

Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax FC Lugano
83 ELO 79
-5.4% Tilt -3%
1671º General ELO ranking 309º
21º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
57.1%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.9%
Draw
18%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18%
Win probability
FC Lugano
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-9%
-15%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1991
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
57%
24%
19%
82 83 1 0
02 Nov. 1991
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
34%
29%
37%
82 73 9 0
26 Oct. 1991
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
55%
24%
21%
80 75 5 +2
23 Oct. 1991
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
5 - 1
Celtic
CEL
41%
25%
34%
78 82 4 +2
19 Oct. 1991
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
47%
26%
27%
79 75 4 -1

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 1991
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
61%
23%
16%
78 73 5 0
26 Oct. 1991
SIO
Sion
0 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
56%
25%
19%
76 79 3 +2
19 Oct. 1991
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
64%
21%
14%
75 82 7 +1
15 Oct. 1991
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 3
Lausanne Sports
LAU
43%
27%
30%
74 79 5 +1
12 Oct. 1991
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 3
FC Lugano
LUG
60%
22%
17%
74 74 0 0