Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
NEX
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
28%
24%
49%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 0
TRI
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 18 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
6 - 0
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
FCV
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |