Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
8º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
NEX
6 - 2
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 1
NEX
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NEX
4 - 0
STA
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
STA
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
ETO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |