Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 1
SCH
38%
25%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 0
SIO
15%
22%
64%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
SCH
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
5 - 2
FCA
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCD
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |