Challenge League . Jor. 12

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Aarau
59 ELO 59
7.4% Tilt 14.4%
2266º General ELO ranking 1426º
22º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.1%
Draw
36.5%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.5%
Win probability
Aarau
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
+22%
-7%
Aarau

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2020
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
46%
24%
30%
59 58 1 0
27 Nov. 2020
SCH
Schaffhausen
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
30%
25%
46%
61 54 7 -2
24 Nov. 2020
CHI
Chiasso
3 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
17%
23%
61%
61 48 13 0
24 Oct. 2020
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
39%
25%
37%
63 58 5 -2
20 Oct. 2020
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
52%
24%
24%
62 59 3 +1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2020
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
33%
24%
43%
58 65 7 0
23 Nov. 2020
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
33%
24%
43%
58 66 8 0
03 Nov. 2020
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
Kriens
KRI
43%
24%
34%
59 61 2 -1
30 Oct. 2020
THU
Thun
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
59%
22%
20%
59 69 10 0
24 Oct. 2020
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
39%
25%
37%
58 63 5 +1
X