Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
LEM
1 - 2
NEX
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 1
NEX
20%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NEX
0 - 2
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NEX
3 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
NEX
19%
24%
58%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
5 - 1
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LEM
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |