Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 0
NEX
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
NEX
0 - 0
GCZ
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
LAU
1 - 0
NEX
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
SER
0 - 0
NEX
41%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCW
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |