Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 1
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 2
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
LAU
1 - 5
NEX
31%
23%
45%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
PAO
2 - 1
BAS
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ILL
1 - 3
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |