Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NEX
1 - 0
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
NEX
3 - 1
YOB
33%
24%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
THU
3 - 0
NEX
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
GCZ
2 - 1
NEX
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 0
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
THU
4 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
8 - 1
GCZ
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |