Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
YOB
3 - 1
NEX
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
NEX
0 - 1
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NEX
6 - 1
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
THU
2 - 3
NEX
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
NEX
4 - 2
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |