Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
FCL
2 - 0
NEX
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2000 |
STU
4 - 1
NEX
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 6
STU
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
NEX
3 - 3
MYP
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
MYP
1 - 2
NEX
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
4 - 1
SIO
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
BAS
0 - 3
LAU
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |