Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
SVE
2 - 0
NES
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NES
2 - 0
SPA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
NES
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NES
1 - 3
BER
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NES
5 - 2
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
SVI
0 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PAN
3 - 1
SVI
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SVI
1 - 0
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 1
SVI
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SVI
2 - 0
MIN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |