Nesebar vs Strumska Slava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
KAR
2 - 0
NES
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NES
0 - 0
BGA
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARK
5 - 1
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NES
1 - 1
POM
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FCT
3 - 1
NES
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Strumska Slava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
STR
0 - 2
SEP
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
STR
2 - 0
OFK
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LOV
2 - 0
STR
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CSK
3 - 0
STR
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
STR
3 - 1
KAR
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |