Nesebar vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
49.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
NES
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NES
3 - 0
LSO
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 1
NES
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 0
NES
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
NES
2 - 3
OFK
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
OFK
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LOV
1 - 2
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
STR
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
KAR
0 - 0
MON
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
BGA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |