Nesebar vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BER
0 - 0
NES
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
NES
1 - 0
SVA
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NEF
1 - 2
NES
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NES
1 - 4
SSO
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
NES
0 - 2
CSK
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LSO
0 - 1
CSK
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ROD
1 - 1
LSO
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LSO
2 - 0
LPL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
OFK
0 - 0
LSO
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
LSO
5 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |