Nesebar vs Dobrudzha Dobrich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
NES
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
6 - 0
NES
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
DOR
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 3
NES
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Dobrudzha Dobrich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
DOR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 1
DOB
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
0 - 0
LYU
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
DOB
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |