Nesebar vs Asenovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SLI
1 - 4
NES
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NES
3 - 0
ROZ
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 0
NES
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NES
4 - 1
KAR
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NES
1 - 3
LSO
7%
17%
76%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Asenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ASE
4 - 0
RAK
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
EVR
2 - 2
ASE
26%
21%
52%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASE
2 - 1
DIM
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
CHB
5 - 4
ASE
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ASE
2 - 1
GIG
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |