Nervión vs AD. Carmona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MSQ
2 - 1
NER
67%
20%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NER
2 - 2
YEY
36%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 0
NER
59%
24%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
NER
0 - 0
SAN
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 4
NER
51%
24%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
AD. Carmona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 2
ADC
26%
27%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ADC
1 - 2
MSQ
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ADC
2 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
YEY
0 - 0
ADC
43%
26%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ADC
1 - 0
PEN
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |