Nerva CF vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FBV
1 - 0
NER
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NER
0 - 0
ALO
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 0
NER
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NER
5 - 0
DCA
73%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
NER
53%
24%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
CDZ
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CDZ
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CDZ
2 - 0
BEA
40%
26%
35%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDR
2 - 1
CDZ
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CDZ
3 - 0
REP
61%
21%
18%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |