Nerva CF vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
NER
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NER
1 - 1
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALO
2 - 2
NER
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ZAL
4 - 2
NER
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
CDE
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CDZ
0 - 3
CRU
32%
23%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
CDZ
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDZ
3 - 2
CDE
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDZ
3 - 1
FBV
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
CDZ
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |