Nerva CF vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 2
NER
41%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NER
2 - 2
CAM
38%
23%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
4 - 0
NER
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NER
0 - 1
ARO
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
NER
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDZ
3 - 0
VAL
55%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 0
CDZ
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CDZ
5 - 0
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALO
0 - 0
CDZ
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEA
3 - 1
CDZ
23%
22%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |