Nerva CF vs Atlético Tharsis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDZ
0 - 1
NER
51%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NER
2 - 3
SAN
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
5 - 2
NER
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
THA
30%
21%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
CDR
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Tharsis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
THA
3 - 2
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
THA
48%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 2
CAM
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
THA
30%
21%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
THA
1 - 5
CAR
30%
21%
50%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |